Resolving now
Every active call by resolution date, with fresh grades as they land. Each call was posted before its outcome and links its own dated page. This page refreshes every minute.
Graded in the last 14 days
Active, nearest resolution first
- IMMINENT
ARCC closes below $19.00 on 2026-09-18
private_credit · past date — awaiting grade · Sep 18, 2026
EHIQ 45% · instrument_implied 31% now
- IMMINENT
FDA decision (PDUFA) — RARE (Ultragenyx) UX111
biotech · past date — awaiting grade · Sep 19, 2026
EHIQ 75% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
v18 model prints STRESS regime for at least 3 consecutive days in Q3 2026
Macro · resolves in 9 days · Sep 30, 2026
EHIQ 72% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Any candidate wins outright in Brazil's 2026 first round
Election · resolves in 13 days · Oct 4, 2026
EHIQ 4% · polymarket 7% now
- ACTIVE
Will the merger described in LiveRamp Holdings, Inc. (RAMP)'s DEFM14A (filed 2026-07-06) be completed on or before 2026-10-04?
catalyst · resolves in 13 days · Oct 4, 2026
EHIQ 92% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Will the merger described in Weatherford International plc (WFRD)'s S-4 (filed 2026-07-06) be completed on or before 2026-10-04?
catalyst · resolves in 13 days · Oct 4, 2026
EHIQ 10% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Will the merger described in Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (GBTG)'s DEFM14A (filed 2026-07-06) be completed on or before 2026-10-04?
catalyst · resolves in 13 days · Oct 4, 2026
EHIQ 90% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Will the merger described in SOUNDHOUND AI, INC. (SOUN, SOUNW)'s S-4 (filed 2026-07-08) be completed on or before 2026-10-06?
catalyst · resolves in 15 days · Oct 6, 2026
EHIQ 50% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Will the merger described in NEXTERA ENERGY INC (NEE, NEE-PN, NEE-PS, NEE-PT, NEE-PU, NEE-PV, NEE-PW)'s S-4 (filed 2026-07-09) be completed on or before 2026-10-07?
catalyst · resolves in 16 days · Oct 7, 2026
EHIQ 86% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
CERO repays the consolidated note in full by the October 15 maturity
Corporate · resolves in 24 days · Oct 15, 2026
EHIQ 15% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Lula da Silva re-election (Brazil 2026)
Election · resolves in 34 days · Oct 25, 2026
EHIQ 55% · polymarket 42% now
- ACTIVE
Flávio Bolsonaro win (Brazil 2026)
Election · resolves in 34 days · Oct 25, 2026
EHIQ 43% · polymarket 57% now
- ACTIVE
Olivia Chow re-election (Toronto Mayor 2026)
Election · resolves in 35 days · Oct 26, 2026
EHIQ 68% · polymarket 89% now
- ACTIVE
Brad Bradford win (Toronto Mayor 2026)
Election · resolves in 35 days · Oct 26, 2026
EHIQ 22% · polymarket 12% now
- ACTIVE
Harry Kane wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or
sports · resolves in 40 days · Oct 31, 2026
EHIQ 45% · polymarket 56% now
- ACTIVE
Lamine Yamal wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or
sports · resolves in 40 days · Oct 31, 2026
EHIQ 16% · polymarket 23% now
- ACTIVE
Bernie Sanders endorses James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2
Election · resolves in 42 days · Nov 2, 2026
EHIQ 22% · polymarket 26% now
- ACTIVE
Republicans win the 2026 Ohio governor race
Election · resolves in 43 days · Nov 3, 2026
EHIQ 57% · polymarket 43% now
- ACTIVE
Democrats win the 2026 Iowa governor race
Election · resolves in 43 days · Nov 3, 2026
EHIQ 55% · polymarket 78% now
- ACTIVE
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Election · resolves in 43 days · Nov 3, 2026
EHIQ 45% · polymarket 31% now
- ACTIVE
Republicans hold the Senate in the 2026 midterms
Election · resolves in 43 days · Nov 3, 2026
EHIQ 68% · polymarket 39% now
- ACTIVE
Republicans win the 2026 Georgia governor race
Election · resolves in 43 days · Nov 3, 2026
EHIQ 47% · polymarket 42% now
- ACTIVE
Graham's SC Senate seat stays Republican, decided in the Aug 11 GOP primary by Trump's endorsement
Election · resolves in 44 days · Nov 3, 2026
EHIQ 87% · polymarket 87% now
- ACTIVE
US Senate control 2026
Election · resolves in 44 days · Nov 4, 2026
EHIQ 47% · polymarket 61% now
- ACTIVE
US House control 2026
Election · resolves in 44 days · Nov 4, 2026
EHIQ 65% · polymarket 94% now
- ACTIVE
GA Senate — Ossoff retention
Election · resolves in 44 days · Nov 4, 2026
EHIQ 62% · polymarket 94% now
- ACTIVE
ME Senate — Collins retention
Election · resolves in 44 days · Nov 4, 2026
EHIQ 50% · polymarket 31% now
- ACTIVE
Delaware Life's affiliated line prints below $13.0B in the Q3 statement
Corporate · resolves in 56 days · Nov 16, 2026
EHIQ 45% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Delaware Life files Q3 with no further restatement of any prior period
Corporate · resolves in 56 days · Nov 16, 2026
EHIQ 70% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Clear Spring's affiliated line prints below $5.0B in the Q3 statement
Corporate · resolves in 56 days · Nov 16, 2026
EHIQ 30% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Opendoor Series K warrant early-expiration condition triggers before 2026-11-20 expiry
Corporate · resolves in 60 days · Nov 20, 2026
EHIQ 5% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Bad Bunny is the most-streamed global artist on Spotify for 2026
Corporate · resolves in 73 days · Dec 3, 2026
EHIQ 87% · polymarket 86% now
- ACTIVE
SpaceX (SPCX) — 180-day lock-up close below IPO price
Corporate · resolves in 80 days · Dec 9, 2026
EHIQ 35% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
SPCX trades below $135 IPO price before December 2026 lock-up expiry
markets · resolves in 80 days · Dec 9, 2026
EHIQ 40% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
SpaceX (SPCX) — 6-month total return outperforms QQQ by >10pp
Corporate · resolves in 85 days · Dec 14, 2026
EHIQ 40% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
FDA decision (PDUFA) — PRAX relutrigine
biotech · resolves in 97 days · Dec 27, 2026
EHIQ 50% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Drake v UMG — 2d Cir affirms Vargas dismissal
Legal · resolves in 101 days · Dec 31, 2026
EHIQ 75% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
BTC closes below $50,000 on at least one day by EOY 2026
Macro · resolves in 101 days · Dec 31, 2026
EHIQ 50% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Blackstone (BX) stock closes below $150 on at least one day by EOY 2026
equity · resolves in 101 days · Dec 31, 2026
EHIQ 55% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Warner/Bain announce the Red Hot Chili Peppers catalog by Dec 31 2026
Corporate · resolves in 101 days · Dec 31, 2026
EHIQ 65% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Walter's Chelsea minority stake sale is agreed or announced by Dec 31
Corporate · resolves in 101 days · Dec 31, 2026
EHIQ 55% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Live Nation DOJ consent judgment entered by Dec 31 2026
Legal · resolves in 101 days · Dec 31, 2026
EHIQ 55% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
NBA approves expansion to 32 teams by Dec 31 2026
Corporate · resolves in 101 days · Dec 31, 2026
EHIQ 55% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Khosla group closes the Seahawks purchase by Dec 31 2026
Corporate · resolves in 101 days · Dec 31, 2026
EHIQ 90% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
NBA awards the first NBA Europe franchises by Dec 31 2026
Corporate · resolves in 101 days · Dec 31, 2026
EHIQ 65% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
LIV Golf closes its BC Partners-led investment by Dec 31 2026
Corporate · resolves in 101 days · Dec 31, 2026
EHIQ 55% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
An NFL team sells a minority stake at a $10B+ valuation by Dec 31 2026
Corporate · resolves in 101 days · Dec 31, 2026
EHIQ 50% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
No Fed rate hike in 2026 (fade the hike consensus)
Macro · resolves in 102 days · Dec 31, 2026
EHIQ 40% · polymarket 95% now
- ACTIVE
Digimarc (DMRC) outperforms the Russell 2000 on the AI-provenance re-rate
equity · resolves in 102 days · Dec 31, 2026
EHIQ 42% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Mitek (MITK) outperforms the Russell 2000 on the AI-provenance re-rate
equity · resolves in 102 days · Dec 31, 2026
EHIQ 52% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Intellicheck (IDN) outperforms the Russell 2000 on the AI-provenance re-rate
equity · resolves in 102 days · Dec 31, 2026
EHIQ 62% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
GameStop acquires eBay (Cohen $125 bid)
Corporate · resolves in 102 days · Dec 31, 2026
EHIQ 8% · polymarket 7% now
- ACTIVE
Drake top Spotify artist 2026
Corporate · resolves in 102 days · Dec 31, 2026
EHIQ 20% · polymarket 7% now
- ACTIVE
Ethereum touches $1,500 before 2027
Crypto · resolves in 102 days · Dec 31, 2026
EHIQ 88% · polymarket 10% now
- ACTIVE
Drake 'Iceman' Year-1 cumulative units
Corporate · resolves in 236 days · May 15, 2027
EHIQ 60% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
AM Best downgrades the Group 1001 Life Annuity Group below A- by June 30 2027
Corporate · resolves in 282 days · Jun 30, 2027
EHIQ 30% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Drake next deal — $1.07B all-rights forecast
Corporate · resolves in 425 days · Nov 20, 2027
EHIQ 62% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Braze (BRZE) announces acquisition, take-private, or material restructuring by EOY 2027
equity · resolves in 466 days · Dec 31, 2027
EHIQ 55% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Five9 (FIVN) announces acquisition, take-private, or material restructuring by EOY 2027
equity · resolves in 466 days · Dec 31, 2027
EHIQ 60% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Microsoft and OpenAI announce material renegotiation of partnership terms by EOY 2027
corporate_strategy · resolves in 466 days · Dec 31, 2027
EHIQ 65% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Mark Walter still controls the Los Angeles Dodgers on Dec 31 2027
Corporate · resolves in 466 days · Dec 31, 2027
EHIQ 45% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Drake exits UMG primary recording deal by EOY 2027
Corporate · resolves in 467 days · Dec 31, 2027
EHIQ 55% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Apple outperforms the AI intelligence-layer basket (NVDA/MSFT/GOOGL/META) by Jan 2028
Corporate · resolves in 473 days · Jan 6, 2028
EHIQ 55% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
2028 D primary — Buttigieg outperforms Newsom
Election · resolves in 710 days · Aug 31, 2028
EHIQ 38% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
2028 R primary — Tucker beats Vance head-to-head (if both run)
Election · resolves in 710 days · Aug 31, 2028
EHIQ 35% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Gavin Newsom — 2028 Democratic nomination
Election · resolves in 710 days · Aug 31, 2028
EHIQ 16% · polymarket 15% now
- ACTIVE
JD Vance is overrated as the 2028 GOP favorite
Election · resolves in 710 days · Aug 31, 2028
EHIQ 32% · polymarket 51% now
- ACTIVE
2028 presidency — JD Vance
Election · resolves in 778 days · Nov 7, 2028
EHIQ 27% · polymarket 21% now
- ACTIVE
2028 presidency — Gavin Newsom
Election · resolves in 778 days · Nov 7, 2028
EHIQ 15% · polymarket 8% now
- ACTIVE
2028 presidency — Marco Rubio
Election · resolves in 778 days · Nov 7, 2028
EHIQ 10% · polymarket 9% now
- ACTIVE
2028 presidency — Josh Shapiro
Election · resolves in 778 days · Nov 7, 2028
EHIQ 8% · polymarket 3% now
- ACTIVE
2028 presidency: Nikki Haley
Election · resolves in 778 days · Nov 7, 2028
EHIQ 7% · polymarket 0% now
- ACTIVE
2028 presidency — Pete Buttigieg
Election · resolves in 778 days · Nov 7, 2028
EHIQ 6% · polymarket 3% now
- ACTIVE
2028 presidency — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Election · resolves in 778 days · Nov 7, 2028
EHIQ 4% · polymarket 13% now
- ACTIVE
2028 presidency — Jon Ossoff
Election · resolves in 778 days · Nov 7, 2028
EHIQ 4% · polymarket 12% now
- ACTIVE
2028 presidency — Tucker Carlson
Election · resolves in 778 days · Nov 7, 2028
EHIQ 2% · polymarket 2% now
- ACTIVE
2028 presidency — Kamala Harris
Election · resolves in 778 days · Nov 7, 2028
EHIQ 2% · polymarket 5% now
- ACTIVE
Compagnie de l'Odet — pyramid-simplification cascade
Corporate · resolves in 833 days · Dec 31, 2028
EHIQ 55% · no market declared
- ACTIVE
Drake's next deal: services/distribution, not a major
Corporate · resolves in 833 days · Jan 1, 2029
EHIQ 85% · no market declared