The register dashboard.
How the five major central bankers are actually talking — constraint, inevitability, superlative, hedging, each scored against the speaker's own baseline — plus the v18 gate. Every card stamps its data's own as-of date.
The gate
The v18 gate
instrument: v18 regime model — v18 is a volatility model
as of Sep 18, 2026
in the bullish band
Risk-on — 62% toward Anchor C
The gate holds between 0.40 and 0.50. Read from the v18_regime_state prod table.
Central-bank register
1 of 5 banks readFederal Reserve
No read ingested yet. The first row lands after the bank's next meeting, read by the published methodology (SSRN Apr 2026) and written by the guarded ingest.
- descriptive
European Central Bank
2026-09-10 monetary-policy presser
as of Sep 10, 2026
Constraint6.2322th pctInevitability9.520th pctSuperlative0.0066th pctHedging2.9450th pctcomposite 19.0streak 0instrument: published methodology (SSRN Apr 2026)
Percentiles are against the speaker's own baseline. A descriptive read of register, never a rate call.
Bank of Canada
No read ingested yet. The first row lands after the bank's next meeting, read by the published methodology (SSRN Apr 2026) and written by the guarded ingest.
Bank of England
No read ingested yet. The first row lands after the bank's next meeting, read by the published methodology (SSRN Apr 2026) and written by the guarded ingest.
Bank of Japan
No read ingested yet. The first row lands after the bank's next meeting, read by the published methodology (SSRN Apr 2026) and written by the guarded ingest.
Data as-of
These dates are the data's own dates — the newest register read is Sep 10, 2026.
Disclaimer
Published intelligence and analytical research. Descriptive instrument state, never a rate call, and not personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or event contract. Readers are responsible for their own decisions.