Event Horizon IQ
The November gate
37 of 75
31 strict (level d)
verified resolved calls by November 3, 2026
Verified means: resolved, and the market was named when the call was published — not backfilled after the outcome.
Official 37 = strict 31 + 6 named rows (5 hits) — shown in full
These six predate our 2026-07-23 provenance standard. We count them in the official reading and name them. The strict reading excludes them.
| call | resolved | verdict |
|---|---|---|
| scotus-trump-v-slaughter-2026 | 2026-06-29 | HIT |
| scotus-birthright-citizenship-2026 | 2026-06-30 | HIT |
| scotus-nrsc-v-fec-2026 | 2026-06-30 | HIT |
| scotus-mullin-v-al-otro-lado-2026 | 2026-06-25 | HIT |
| spcx-first-day-pop-over-20pct-2026 | 2026-06-28 | MISS |
| spcx-eod1-mcap-over-2t-2026 | 2026-06-28 | HIT |
As of 2026-09-19: 38 to go, 6.4 weeks left — pace needed 5.9 per week (7 per week through October 27).
The gate is back-loaded: the November 3 midterms cohort resolves on election night. The pace line measures registrations and resolutions through election day, not a smooth weekly ramp.