BTC closes below $50,000 on at least one day by EOY 2026

Extension of the May 26 v18 MIXED->STRESS print. BTC has dropped from $77K (May 26 call moment) to ~$60K (Jun 6) — 21% in 10 trading days. v18 STRESS regime persistence + macro-rates pressure + private-credit contagion compounding gives BTC a ~50% chance to test below $50K on at least one day in the back half of 2026.