ElectionActive★ featured

GA Senate — Ossoff retention

Will Jon Ossoff (D) retain his Georgia Senate seat in 2026?

EHIQ

55%

(52-60%)

Polymarket

84%

Edge

-28.5pp

EHIQ below market

EHIQ vs market over time · 9 data points · refreshed daily

EHIQMarket

Thesis

Ossoff won 2021 runoff by 1.2%. EHIQ register read shows decisive incumbent register with low desperation. Ratings agencies have it TOSSUP. EHIQ slight LEAN_WIN_D at 55%, reflecting incumbent advantage + Stacey Abrams not running offsetting some D operational strength + R field uncertainty (Perdue/Kemp potential).

Opened

April 19, 2026

Expected resolution

November 4, 2026