Buy the Dip
Detects VIX spike + BTC pullback within an uptrend. Multiplicative composite: all three conditions must align simultaneously. V4 Monte Carlo validated: 100% OOS win rate, +22.1% avg 30d return, p=0.004.
State History
Track record
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
State Definitions
No dip conditions detected. VIX calm or BTC not pulling back.
Partial conditions present. One or two components active.
All conditions met: VIX spiking, BTC pulling back within uptrend. Buy signal active.
Fires Together With
Sensors that were historically elevated on the same days. Higher overlap suggests correlated stress signals.
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Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.