flightPremium/MEDIUM confidence
Mobility Demand Composite
Cross-signal combining capital flow pricing with institutional mobility volume. Four regimes: EUPHORIA, ESCAPE, CONTRACTION, OVERCAPACITY.
NEUTRAL
12h ago
State History
7 readings|0 state changes|NEUTRAL: 100%
Track record
CONTRACTION
1 fires since 2021 · — hit · median 21d -13.1% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
EUPHORIA
2 fires since 2021 · 50% hit · median 21d +12.1% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
NEUTRAL
1 fires since 2021 · 100% hit · median 21d +6.7% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
Fires Together With
Behavioral Watchlist
49d overlapELEVATED
Real Rate Regime Sensor
49d overlapSEVERE
Economic Policy Uncertainty Sensor
49d overlapRISING
Management Behavior Index
49d overlapELEVATED
Geopolitical Risk Sensor
48d overlapUNKNOWN
Cross-Venue Depeg Detector
36d overlapSTABLE
Sensors that were historically elevated on the same days. Higher overlap suggests correlated stress signals.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.