BTC Dominance Sensor
Tracks Bitcoin's share of total crypto market capitalization.
State History
Track record
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
State Definitions
BTC dominance < 40%. Alt season — capital rotating heavily into altcoins. Risk appetite at maximum.
BTC dominance > 60%. Strong flight to quality. Risk-off within crypto ecosystem.
BTC dominance 50-60% and rising. Flight to quality within crypto. Early defensive signal.
BTC dominance 50-60%. Normal market conditions. No clear rotation signal.
BTC dominance 40-50% and falling. Capital rotating into alts. Risk-on behavior.
Sources
Fires Together With
Sensors that were historically elevated on the same days. Higher overlap suggests correlated stress signals.
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Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.