macro/high confidence
DXY Dollar Strength Sensor
Monitors DXY and USDJPY as currency regime indicators. Strong dollar squeezes EM debt, pressures crypto. JPY strength signals carry unwind.
NORMAL
Live
Since Jun 17, 20263 people watching
State History
NORMAL
SEVERE
STABLE
ELEVATED
162 readings|0 state changes|NORMAL: 100%
Track record
NORMAL
11 fires since 2021 · 91% hit · median 21d +2.1% on SPY
validated
STABLE
15 fires since 2021 · 80% hit · median 21d +5.7% on SPY
validated
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
State Definitions
NORMAL
DXY 100-104 -- neutral.
SEVERE
DXY > 108 -- very strong dollar, global stress.
STABLE
DXY < 100 -- weak dollar, risk-on.
ELEVATED
DXY 104-108 -- strong dollar, EM stress.
Sources
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Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.