This is the email Sharp subscribers get Sunday evenings.
The block below is rendered with the same live data the Sunday-23:00-UTC cron uses — top 5 active calls by edge vs Kalshi / Polymarket, last week’s resolutions, and a one-paragraph regime read. This isn’t a marketing mockup; it’s exactly what would send right now if the cron fired.
EHIQ Sharp · weekly digest
Jun 1 – Jun 8
Top edge calls
2028 R primary — Tucker beats Vance head-to-head (if both run)
EHIQ 35% · edge +26.1pp · resolves 27mo
EHIQ reads higher probability than manual.
2028 D primary — Buttigieg outperforms Newsom
EHIQ 38% · polymarket 12% · edge +26.0pp · resolves 27mo
EHIQ reads higher probability than polymarket.
Pezeshkian out by June 30 2026 (Iranian president fade)
EHIQ 12% · polymarket 36% · edge -23.7pp · resolves 3w
EHIQ reads lower probability than polymarket.
Iván Cepeda Castro win (Colombia 2026)
EHIQ 20% · polymarket 42% · edge -22.0pp · resolves 2w
EHIQ reads lower probability than polymarket.
EHIQ 20% · kalshi 2% · edge +18.0pp · resolves 7mo
EHIQ reads higher probability than kalshi.
Resolved this week
- HITSteve Hilton — CA Governor primary first-place(EHIQ 25% vs market 10% at call)
- MISSTom Steyer — CA Governor primary first-place(EHIQ 35% vs market 34% at call)
- MISSXavier Becerra — CA Governor primary first-place(EHIQ 52% vs market 49% at call)
- MISSKatie Porter — CA Governor primary first-place(EHIQ 11% vs market 1% at call)
- MISSMatt Mahan — CA Governor primary first-place(EHIQ 7% vs market 2% at call)
- MISSLA mayoral — Spencer Pratt first-round winner(EHIQ 37% vs market 18% at call)
- HITLA mayoral — Karen Bass first-round winner(EHIQ 43% vs market 45% at call)
- HITIowa Senate D Primary — Turek over Wahls(EHIQ 66% vs market 35% at call)
Regime read
Macro regime remains structurally elevated — the structural risk index sits in the contrarian-extreme zone where prediction-market mispricings have historically resolved fastest. Read the top edge calls above against that backdrop.
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EHIQ Sharp is published intelligence and analytical research. It is not personalized investment advice and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security or event contract. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Disclaimer
Live sample rendered from current data; subscriber emails are sent Sundays at 7pm ET. Published intelligence, not personalized investment advice. Subscribers responsible for their own decisions.