This is the email Sharp subscribers get Sunday evenings.
The block below is rendered with the same live data the Sunday-23:00-UTC cron uses — top 5 active calls by edge vs Kalshi / Polymarket, last week’s resolutions, and a one-paragraph regime read. This isn’t a marketing mockup; it’s exactly what would send right now if the cron fired.
EHIQ Sharp · weekly digest
Oct 7 – Oct 14
Top edge calls
No Fed rate hike in 2026 (fade the hike consensus)
EHIQ 40% · polymarket 95% · edge -55.1pp · resolves 3mo
EHIQ reads lower probability than polymarket.
Olivia Chow re-election (Toronto Mayor 2026)
EHIQ 33% · polymarket 70% · edge -37.0pp · resolves 2w
EHIQ reads lower probability than polymarket.
EHIQ 62% · polymarket 96% · edge -34.0pp · resolves 3w
EHIQ reads lower probability than polymarket.
Brad Bradford win (Toronto Mayor 2026)
EHIQ 62% · polymarket 31% · edge +31.5pp · resolves 2w
EHIQ reads higher probability than polymarket.
Republicans hold the Senate in the 2026 midterms
EHIQ 68% · polymarket 37% · edge +31.5pp · resolves 3w
EHIQ reads higher probability than polymarket.
+The rest of the email — resolutions + the regime readlast week's HIT/MISS verdicts and the one-paragraph regime read
Resolved this week
- MISSWill the merger described in LiveRamp Holdings, Inc. (RAMP)'s DEFM14A (filed 2026-07-06) be completed on or before 2026-10-04?
- MISSWill the merger described in NEXTERA ENERGY INC (NEE, NEE-PN, NEE-PS, NEE-PT, NEE-PU, NEE-PV, NEE-PW)'s S-4 (filed 2026-07-09) be completed on or before 2026-10-07?
- HITWill the merger described in Weatherford International plc (WFRD)'s S-4 (filed 2026-07-06) be completed on or before 2026-10-04?
- MISSWill the merger described in SOUNDHOUND AI, INC. (SOUN, SOUNW)'s S-4 (filed 2026-07-08) be completed on or before 2026-10-06?
- HITWill the merger described in Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (GBTG)'s DEFM14A (filed 2026-07-06) be completed on or before 2026-10-04?
Regime read
Macro regime remains structurally elevated — the structural risk index sits in the contrarian-extreme zone where prediction-market mispricings have historically resolved fastest. Read the standing edges above against that backdrop.
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EHIQ Sharp is published intelligence and analytical research. It is not personalized investment advice and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security or event contract. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Disclaimer
Live sample rendered from current data; subscriber emails are sent Sundays at 7pm ET. Published intelligence, not personalized investment advice. Subscribers responsible for their own decisions.