fundamentalPremium/HIGH confidence
Management Behavior Index
Management behavior composite index derived from earnings communication analysis.
ELEVATED
38d stale
2 people watching
State History
No history data available yet.
Track record
ELEVATED
1 fires since 2021 · 100% hit · median 21d -5.1% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
State Definitions
RISING
1-2 sector events detected
STABLE
No sector-level behavioral events
ELEVATED
3+ sector events across multiple industries
Sources
Fires Together With
Behavioral Watchlist
148d overlapELEVATED
Economic Policy Uncertainty Sensor
147d overlapRISING
Real Rate Regime Sensor
146d overlapSEVERE
Geopolitical Risk Sensor
141d overlapRISING
Promotional Yield Anomaly
134d overlapSEVERE
Growth Valuation
105d overlapSEVERE
Sensors that were historically elevated on the same days. Higher overlap suggests correlated stress signals.
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Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.