cryptoPremium/MEDIUM confidence
Promotional Yield Anomaly
Stablecoin yield trap detection (10/10 gap fix)
SEVERE
Live
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State History
168 readings|2 state changes|SEVERE: 99%STABLE: 1%
Track record
SEVERE
7 fires since 2021 · 71% hit · median 21d -0.3% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
Fires Together With
Geopolitical Risk Sensor
164d overlapRISING
Real Rate Regime Sensor
145d overlapSEVERE
Polymarket IQ
141d overlapELEVATED
Management Behavior Index
134d overlapELEVATED
Economic Policy Uncertainty Sensor
134d overlapRISING
Behavioral Watchlist
134d overlapELEVATED
Sensors that were historically elevated on the same days. Higher overlap suggests correlated stress signals.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.