macro/MEDIUM confidence
Economic Policy Uncertainty Sensor
Baker-Bloom-Davis Economic Policy Uncertainty Index. Academic measure of policy-related economic uncertainty.
ELEVATED
Live
Since Mar 8, 20261 person watching2 total views
State History
LOW
RISING
SEVERE
STABLE
ELEVATED
21 readings|0 state changes|ELEVATED: 100%
State Definitions
LOW
EPU < 100. Policy uncertainty below historical average. Stable policy environment.
RISING
EPU 150-200. Elevated uncertainty. Caution warranted.
SEVERE
EPU > 300. Crisis-level uncertainty. COVID peak was 500+. Extreme caution.
STABLE
EPU 100-150. Normal policy uncertainty. Standard conditions.
ELEVATED
EPU 200-300. High policy uncertainty. Significant market impact expected.
Sources
Fires Together With
Behavioral Watchlist
133d overlapELEVATED
Management Behavior Index
133d overlapELEVATED
Real Rate Regime Sensor
131d overlapELEVATED
Geopolitical Risk Sensor
126d overlapNORMAL
Promotional Yield Anomaly
120d overlapSEVERE
Treasury General Account Liquidity
97d overlapRISING
Sensors that were historically elevated on the same days. Higher overlap suggests correlated stress signals.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.