macro/HIGH confidence
Rate DNA
EHIQ RATE DNA: what's inside the 10-year move
STABLE
Live
Since Oct 8, 2026State History
RISING
SEVERE
STABLE
160 readings|1 state change|STABLE: 91%RISING: 9%
State Definitions
RISING
TIGHTENING — pressure score >= 1: long-end rate pressure building.
SEVERE
Pressure score >= 2 — the 2022 ramp shape; in credibility mode, the long end itself is being doubted.
STABLE
Pressure score < 1 — NEUTRAL, or EASING (score <= -1, carried as a pressure label in metadata; falling pressure is never an alarm state).
Methodology
Methodology draws on Luke Kawa's cross-asset rate-pressure framework (Odd Lots).
Sources
Fires Together With
Growth Valuation
5d overlapSEVERE
Geopolitical Risk Sensor
5d overlapUNKNOWN
Domestic Capital Rotation Index
5d overlapRISING
Fed Surprise Sensor
5d overlapELEVATED
Eth Gas Fee Regime
5d overlapCALM
Polymarket IQ
5d overlapELEVATED
Sensors that were historically elevated on the same days. Higher overlap suggests correlated stress signals.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.