flightPremium/MEDIUM confidence
Wealth Tier Divergence
Spread between institutional and corporate mobility demand. EUPHORIA regime predicts -15% BTC median at 60 days.
NEUTRAL
11h ago
State History
7 readings|0 state changes|NEUTRAL: 100%
Track record
BROAD EXPANSION
1 fires since 2021 · — hit · median 21d +6.7% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
EUPHORIA
1 fires since 2021 · 100% hit · median 21d -23.0% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
NEUTRAL
2 fires since 2021 · 50% hit · median 21d +12.1% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
Fires Together With
Mobility Demand Composite
17d overlapNEUTRAL
Economic Policy Uncertainty Sensor
17d overlapRISING
Geopolitical Risk Sensor
17d overlapUNKNOWN
Growth Valuation
17d overlapSEVERE
Cross-Venue Depeg Detector
17d overlapSTABLE
Polymarket IQ
17d overlapELEVATED
Sensors that were historically elevated on the same days. Higher overlap suggests correlated stress signals.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.