cryptoPremium/MEDIUM confidence
Cross-Venue Depeg Detector
Venue-isolated stablecoin depeg detection (10/10 gap fix)
STABLE
Live
State History
168 readings|6 state changes|STABLE: 98%ELEVATED: 2%
Track record
SEVERE
1 fires since 2021 · 0% hit · median 21d +6.7% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
STABLE
1 fires since 2021 · 0% hit · median 21d -0.2% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
Fires Together With
Promotional Yield Anomaly
87d overlapSEVERE
Real Rate Regime Sensor
84d overlapSEVERE
Management Behavior Index
81d overlapELEVATED
Geopolitical Risk Sensor
81d overlapRISING
Economic Policy Uncertainty Sensor
81d overlapRISING
Behavioral Watchlist
81d overlapELEVATED
Sensors that were historically elevated on the same days. Higher overlap suggests correlated stress signals.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.