crypto/HIGH confidence
IV-RV Spread (Variance Risk Premium)
Deribit DVOL minus 30-day realized vol. When options overprice fear relative to realized conditions, subsequent BTC returns are positive. Correlation: 0.172 with 21d direction.
ELEVATED
Live
Since May 13, 20261 person watching2 total views
State History
21 readings|1 state change|ELEVATED: 90%RISING: 10%
Fires Together With
Treasury General Account Liquidity
7d overlapSEVERE
Mobility Demand Composite
7d overlapEUPHORIA
Economic Policy Uncertainty Sensor
7d overlapELEVATED
Promotional Yield Anomaly
7d overlapSEVERE
Cross-Venue Depeg Detector
7d overlapSEVERE
Management Behavior Index
7d overlapELEVATED
Sensors that were historically elevated on the same days. Higher overlap suggests correlated stress signals.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.