crypto/HIGH confidence
IV-RV Spread (Variance Risk Premium)
Deribit DVOL minus 30-day realized vol. When options overprice fear relative to realized conditions, subsequent BTC returns are positive. Correlation: 0.172 with 21d direction.
RISING
3h ago
Since Jul 5, 20261 person watching2 total views
State History
28 readings|4 state changes|STABLE: 71%RISING: 29%
Fires Together With
Treasury General Account Liquidity
20d overlapSEVERE
Management Behavior Index
20d overlapELEVATED
Cross-Venue Depeg Detector
20d overlapSTABLE
Economic Policy Uncertainty Sensor
20d overlapELEVATED
Promotional Yield Anomaly
20d overlapSEVERE
Behavioral Watchlist
20d overlapELEVATED
Sensors that were historically elevated on the same days. Higher overlap suggests correlated stress signals.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.