crypto/HIGH confidence
IV-RV Spread (Variance Risk Premium)
Deribit DVOL minus 30-day realized vol. When options overprice fear relative to realized conditions, subsequent BTC returns are positive. Correlation: 0.172 with 21d direction.
ELEVATED
4h ago
Since Aug 19, 20261 person watching2 total views
State History
21 readings|2 state changes|RISING: 57%STABLE: 33%ELEVATED: 10%
Fires Together With
Economic Policy Uncertainty Sensor
21d overlapELEVATED
Promotional Yield Anomaly
21d overlapSEVERE
Management Behavior Index
21d overlapELEVATED
Behavioral Watchlist
21d overlapELEVATED
Growth Valuation
20d overlapSEVERE
Cross-Venue Depeg Detector
20d overlapSTABLE
Sensors that were historically elevated on the same days. Higher overlap suggests correlated stress signals.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.