crypto/MEDIUM confidence
Eth L2 Throughput
CALM
Live
State History
168 readings|10 state changes|CALM: 48%NEUTRAL: 39%RISING: 14%
Track record
ELEVATED
10 fires since 2021 · 80% hit · median 21d -7.2% on BTC-USD
validated
RISING
11 fires since 2021 · 73% hit · median 21d -3.1% on BTC-USD
validated
STRESSED
17 fires since 2021 · 65% hit · median 21d -3.3% on BTC-USD
validated
NEUTRAL
16 fires since 2021 · 50% hit · median 21d +2.9% on BTC-USD
no-content
CALM
6 fires since 2021 · 83% hit · median 21d +21.6% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
Fires Together With
Promotional Yield Anomaly
75d overlapSEVERE
Geopolitical Risk Sensor
70d overlapRISING
Polymarket IQ
66d overlapELEVATED
Real Rate Regime Sensor
59d overlapSEVERE
Economic Policy Uncertainty Sensor
57d overlapRISING
Management Behavior Index
57d overlapELEVATED
Sensors that were historically elevated on the same days. Higher overlap suggests correlated stress signals.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.