crossfirePremium/MEDIUM confidence
CROSSFIRE Offshore Crypto
Offshore institutional activity interaction with crypto markets.
WARMING
6h ago
State History
29 readings|2 state changes|WARMING: 97%ELEVATED: 3%
Track record
ELEVATED
6 fires since 2021 · 67% hit · median 21d -0.2% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
EXTREME
4 fires since 2021 · 25% hit · median 21d +1.5% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
QUIET
3 fires since 2021 · — hit · median 21d -5.0% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
Fires Together With
Promotional Yield Anomaly
80d overlapSEVERE
Geopolitical Risk Sensor
74d overlapRISING
Polymarket IQ
69d overlapELEVATED
Eth Gas Fee Regime
57d overlapNEUTRAL
Eth Liquid Staking Ratio
57d overlapELEVATED
Real Rate Regime Sensor
54d overlapSEVERE
Sensors that were historically elevated on the same days. Higher overlap suggests correlated stress signals.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.