macro/MEDIUM confidence

Yield Curve (10Y-2Y)

FRED T10Y2Y spread - inversion signals recession risk

STABLE

Live

Since Jul 5, 2026

2 people watching

State History

1000 readings|286 state changes|STABLE: 86%RISING: 14%

Fires Together With

Real Rate Regime Sensor

289d overlapELEVATED

VIX Regime Sensor

54d overlapSTABLE

CMC Fear & Greed Index

52d overlapRISING

Treasury General Account Liquidity

10d overlapSEVERE

Housing Market Sensor

7d overlapDECLINING

Commodity Basket Stress Sensor

7d overlapSTABLE

Sensors that were historically elevated on the same days. Higher overlap suggests correlated stress signals.

People Also Watch

Housing Market Sensor

2 also watchDECLINING

Cycle-Funding Divergence

2 also watchSTABLE

Credit Spread Monitor

2 also watchSTABLE

Treasury General Account Liquidity

2 also watchSEVERE

VIX Regime Sensor

2 also watchSTABLE

Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.