macro/MEDIUM confidence

Yield Curve (10Y-2Y)

FRED T10Y2Y spread - inversion signals recession risk

RISING

Live

Since Jul 9, 2026

2 people watching

State History

162 readings|0 state changes|RISING: 100%

Fires Together With

Real Rate Regime Sensor

289d overlapELEVATED

VIX Regime Sensor

CMC Fear & Greed Index

52d overlapRISING

Treasury General Account Liquidity

10d overlapRISING

Housing Market Sensor

7d overlapDECLINING

Commodity Basket Stress Sensor

7d overlapSTABLE

Sensors that were historically elevated on the same days. Higher overlap suggests correlated stress signals.

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Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.