macro/MEDIUM confidence
Yield Curve (10Y-2Y)
FRED T10Y2Y spread - inversion signals recession risk
STABLE
Live
Since Apr 3, 2026State History
1000 readings|26 state changes|STABLE: 99%RISING: 1%
Fires Together With
Real Rate Regime Sensor
289d overlapRISING
VIX Regime Sensor
54d overlapRISING
CMC Fear & Greed Index
52d overlapRISING
Treasury General Account Liquidity
10d overlapSEVERE
Housing Market Sensor
7d overlapDECLINING
Commodity Basket Stress Sensor
7d overlapSEVERE
Sensors that were historically elevated on the same days. Higher overlap suggests correlated stress signals.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.