macro/high confidence
Housing Market Sensor
Monitors US housing as a 6-12 month recession leading indicator. Mortgage spikes choke demand, declining prices signal wealth effect reversal.
DECLINING
7h ago
Since May 18, 20261 person watching
State History
NORMAL
SEVERE
STABLE
ELEVATED
21 readings|0 state changes|DECLINING: 100%
State Definitions
NORMAL
Score 1 -- mild stress.
SEVERE
Score >= 4 -- housing in distress.
STABLE
Score 0 -- healthy housing market.
ELEVATED
Score 2-3 -- building stress.
Sources
Fires Together With
Credit Spread Monitor
194d overlapSTABLE
VIX Regime Sensor
109d overlapSTABLE
Real Rate Regime Sensor
53d overlapELEVATED
BTC Dominance Sensor
13d overlapRISING
Yield Curve (10Y-2Y)
7d overlapSTABLE
Treasury General Account Liquidity
4d overlapSEVERE
Sensors that were historically elevated on the same days. Higher overlap suggests correlated stress signals.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.