crypto/0.5 confidence
TVL Momentum
DeFi total value locked momentum via DefiLlama. Tracks capital deployment trends in DeFi protocols.
ELEVATED
Live
Since Oct 14, 20261 person watching2 total views
State History
161 readings|14 state changes|RISING: 73%STABLE: 17%ELEVATED: 11%
Track record
ELEVATED
12 fires since 2021 · 58% hit · median 21d -1.6% on BTC-USD
no-content
RISING
31 fires since 2021 · 45% hit · median 21d +2.8% on BTC-USD
no-content
STABLE
31 fires since 2021 · 48% hit · median 21d -0.8% on BTC-USD
no-content
SEVERE
4 fires since 2021 · 50% hit · median 21d +3.8% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
Fires Together With
Real Rate Regime Sensor
50d overlapSEVERE
Promotional Yield Anomaly
37d overlapSEVERE
Geopolitical Risk Sensor
36d overlapUNKNOWN
Behavioral Watchlist
34d overlapELEVATED
Management Behavior Index
34d overlapELEVATED
Economic Policy Uncertainty Sensor
33d overlapRISING
Sensors that were historically elevated on the same days. Higher overlap suggests correlated stress signals.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.