macro/MEDIUM confidence

Corporate Stress Index

Corporate stress indicator derived from real-time search behavior patterns.

ELEVATED
7h ago
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State History

27 readings|3 state changes|CALM: 41%ELEVATED: 37%NEUTRAL: 22%

Track record

NEUTRAL
29 fires since 2021 · 66% hit · median 21d +4.6% on BTC-USD
validated
CALM
15 fires since 2021 · 53% hit · median 21d +1.6% on BTC-USD
no-content
ELEVATED
17 fires since 2021 · 41% hit · median 21d +4.6% on BTC-USD
no-content
NORMAL
1 fires since 2021 · 100% hit · median 21d +14.6% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
SEVERE STRESS
2 fires since 2021 · — hit · median 21d +7.5% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable

Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.

Fires Together With

Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.