macro/high confidence
Employment Health Sensor
Monitors US employment via nonfarm payrolls, initial claims, and continuing claims from FRED. Rising claims precede every recession.
STABLE
Live
Since Mar 7, 20262 people watching5 total views
State History
NORMAL
SEVERE
STABLE
ELEVATED
988 readings|0 state changes|STABLE: 100%
State Definitions
NORMAL
Claims 225-275K -- healthy range.
SEVERE
Claims > 350K or NFP < -100K -- recession-level.
STABLE
Claims 4wk avg < 225K -- strong labor market.
ELEVATED
Claims 275-350K -- weakening, recession risk building.
Sources
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Sensors that were historically elevated on the same days. Higher overlap suggests correlated stress signals.
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Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.