EventHorizon IQ · Pre-Earnings TIQ Alerts

48 hours before the call, you read how management actually spoke.

The TIQ language engine has scored 179,000 earnings-call transcripts across 24 signal types. When a company in coverage reports within 48 hours and its last quarter reads anomalous against its own 16-quarter baseline — unusually weak or unusually strong — you get one alert. No noise, no price targets, no hype.

What you get
  • ▪One alert per company per quarter, only when the read is extreme (z ≥ 2.5 vs the company's own baseline) — a few alerts a week in earnings season, often zero otherwise
  • ▪Direction named every time: unusually WEAK or unusually STRONG language, with the z-score and baseline size on the page
  • ▪Delivered 36–60 hours before the confirmed earnings date, by email and Telegram
  • ▪A public, dated, graded record of every alert we have ever sent — misses at full size
What an alert looks like
TIQ EARNINGS ALERT — MSFT (reports Thursday)

MSFT's language last quarter (Q4_FY2026) reads unusually WEAK: constraint register at z −2.8 vs the company's own 14-quarter baseline.

What it is: a dated read of how management actually spoke — not a price target.

The discipline

Every alert is frozen at send time with its z-score, its baseline, and its direction, and graded publicly against the stock's abnormal return over the following 30 days — sector-adjusted, with the misses printed at the same size as the hits. The record page is the product: read the tape before you pay us.

No performance claim is being made. The frozen rule: no "works" claim before 40 graded alerts with binomial p < 0.05, and the effect must survive excluding sub-$300M names. Currently graded: 0 alerts at the T+5 window. Until then this page is a ledger, not a scoreboard.

What this edge is, and what it costs

The alert reads management language against each company's own baseline and fires when the prior quarter is an extreme. The edge, if it holds, is the post-earnings drift family — a small, low-coverage anomaly. Two honest prices are baked in:

  • Publication decay. Published anomalies attenuate — McLean & Pontiff (2016) measured roughly a one-third decline out-of-sample. Any forward expectation shown here carries that haircut; nothing on this page is marketed at its in-sample size.
  • Coverage. Alerts fire only where a 12-16 quarter language baseline exists — large, liquid names with years of calls. Anything under $300M market cap is excluded from every claim, because grading illiquidity is not grading skill.

Dry-run rows are labeled and were never sent to subscribers. Live rows were delivered before the print. Both are graded identically and neither is ever removed.

$29/month

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Pre-Earnings TIQ Alerts is published intelligence and analytical research. It is not personalized investment advice and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves risk of loss. Subscribers are responsible for their own decisions and should consult licensed professionals where appropriate. EventHorizonIQ may hold positions in securities discussed; material positions are disclosed where applicable.