crypto/HIGH confidence
BTC Cycle Turn Composite
IGV stabilization + stablecoin expansion dual-condition cycle turn alert.
RISING
3h ago
Since Oct 3, 20263 people watching4 total views
State History
RISING
STABLE
ELEVATED
155 readings|0 state changes|RISING: 100%
Track record
RISING
31 fires since 2021 · 42% hit · median 21d +1.5% on BTC-USD
no-content
STABLE
20 fires since 2021 · 55% hit · median 21d +0.7% on BTC-USD
no-content
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
State Definitions
RISING
One condition met.
STABLE
No cycle turn signal.
ELEVATED
Both conditions met — cycle turn alert.
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Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.