Khosla group closes the Seahawks purchase by Dec 31 2026
Does the Khosla group's purchase of the Seattle Seahawks close on or before 2026-12-31?
Thesis
What makes us wrong
the league, the club, or the buyer announces a delay or an unmet closing condition. Post-vote sales in this class close within weeks; a silence stretching past Thanksgiving is itself the tell.
- 1.2026-08-30Owners voted unanimously to approve the $9.612B sale to the Khosla family on 2026-08-26 (nfl.com, Yahoo Sports).
- 2.2026-08-30Reference class: Commanders approved 2023-07-20, closed 2023-07-21. Broncos approved 2022-08-09, closed within days. Panthers approved May 2018, closed 2018-07-09.
- 3.2026-08-30Graded on: the league's or the club's announcement that the sale has closed.
Resolution
The Khosla family closed its purchase of the Seattle Seahawks on Thursday 2026-09-03 at $9.612B, eight days after the 2026-08-26 owners vote (NFL.com; Fox13 Seattle; AP). Outcome YES. EHIQ had 90% on YES, so this is a HIT, graded against the 0.90 as stamped (no re-grade). The 8-day vote-to-close interval sits inside the reference class the call named. Recorded late, on 2026-10-16: this was a no-market call and no resolver watched it, so it stayed active six weeks after it resolved. resolved_at carries the event date (NFL.com publish timestamp), not the recording date.
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