EarningsResolvedNOT SCORED

NXDR Q1 FY26 — beat consensus

Will Nextdoor Q1 FY26 revenue beat consensus by >5pp?

premise not yet verified

EHIQ

Not graded

last stored figure 75% (not graded)

Market

—

gap vs market

—

The call vs the market, dated

Validation milestone

NXDR Q1 FY26 print on May 6, 2026

Q1 revenue +14% — exact match with EHIQ AltD-derived call. Q2 guide first-ever-positive EBITDA quarter.

Thesis

Bloomberg AltD Similarweb showed Q1 web traffic +14.08% YoY (R²=53%, 7/8 directional, 100% of period) vs consensus revenue +7.32% — implied beat of +6.76pp. EHIQ called the beat in advance. Q1 print on May 6 showed +14% revenue (exact alignment). Q2 guide $4-6M Adj EBITDA (+9pp margin) was the actual structural re-rating event.

Resolution

Outcome

YES

Resolved

May 6, 2026

NXDR Q1 came in at +14% revenue exact, matching EHIQ call. Q2 guide was the bigger re-rating event. [2026-10-18 eric-stamp QAU-D8] Determination: resolvable, not voided. Primary source archived: Nextdoor Q1 2026 8-K Ex 99.2, "Revenue of $62 million increased 14% year-over-year." (sha256 f441c76df742b4c8, evidence row call_resolutions 42). The consensus leg is the record's Bloomberg figure (+7.32% revenue growth, stated in the thesis), which is a third-party benchmark, not a primary filing, and is not archived. On those figures the beat is +6.7pp > 5pp, so outcome YES stands. Stays NOT SCORED (at-open unverifiable). Note: the row was created 2026-05-09, after it resolved.

Opened

May 6, 2026

Expected resolution

May 6, 2026

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