LegalActive

Live Nation DOJ consent judgment entered by Dec 31 2026

Is the DOJ/Live Nation antitrust consent judgment entered by a federal court on or before 2026-12-31?

premise not yet verified

EHIQ

55%

Market

—

Edge

—

Thesis

What makes us wrong

the judge orders an evidentiary hearing or appoints an amicus

The public comment window closes 2026-09-04, after which a federal judge must find the consent judgment in the public interest under the Tunney Act. Terms include divestiture of exclusive booking at up to 13 amphitheatres, a $280M fund for 39 states and DC, and opening parts of Ticketmaster to competing ticketers. Tunney Act review approves DOJ consent decrees the overwhelming majority of the time; the risk sits in the calendar, and a heavy comment docket is what stretches it.

1.2026-08-16REVISED 0.72 -> 0.55 BEFORE PUBLICATION, after base-rate work. DOJ moves for entry 'a few months' after comment close; comment closes 2026-09-04 and Dec 31 is 3.9 months later, so the deadline sits INSIDE the typical window rather than past it. CVS/Aetna shows high-salience decrees can extend far longer. The 0.72 in ehiq_prob_at_open was never published.

Opened

August 16, 2026

Expected resolution

December 31, 2026

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