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cultureResolvedNO DIRECTION
Future performs at the 2026 World Cup final halftime show
Will Future perform at (or be announced as a performer for) the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show (July 19 2026)?
premise not yet verified
EHIQ
Not graded
last stored figure 50% (not graded)
gap vs market
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The call vs the market, dated
Opened July 13, 2026. The at-open probability stamps on this call have not passed provenance verification and are excluded from all statistics; the resolved outcome is unaffected.
EHIQ vs market over time · 7 data points · refreshed daily
EHIQMarket
Thesis
EHIQ prices a 2026 World Cup final halftime appearance well above the Kalshi market, which has priced the name down on rumors of a lineup snub that were subsequently reported as false. With the show unannounced and the contract resolving on announcement, EHIQ reads the tail as underpriced at single-digit cents.
Resolution
Outcome
NO
Resolved
July 20, 2026
Speculative culture tip, digest-excluded. Same basis and outcome as the Drake call. Logged as a clean miss. [2026-10-16 eric-stamp KN] Labelled no-direction: EHIQ's graded at-open probability was exactly 0.50, which has no direction, so this call is neither a hit nor a miss. The stored hit column, actual_outcome and every probability are unchanged; ties stay in the hit-rate denominator (SCORING_POLICY §5).
Opened
July 13, 2026
Expected resolution
July 19, 2026
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