CorporateResolved★ featured

Drake Iceman Kendrick mention (Kalshi fade)

Will Drake mention Kendrick Lamar by name on Iceman?

EHIQ

10%

Kalshi

16%

Edge

-6.0pp

EHIQ below market

Upstream of markets

EHIQ called this at 10% on April 26, 2026 when Kalshi was at 16%.

Market still at 16% · 0.0pp from open

EHIQ vs market over time · 6 data points · refreshed daily

EHIQMarket

Thesis

Day 250 (April 26) Embassy Toronto video called Kalshi 16% on a Kendrick mention as overpriced. Drake's structural target on Iceman is UMG/Grainge ("ONE AGAINST ALL") — not Kendrick personally. The structural thesis is about label-side power, and naming Kendrick would dilute the framing. EHIQ fade Kalshi to ~10%.

Resolution

Outcome

YES

Resolved

June 28, 2026

Billboard / NME / Complex multi-outlet consensus.

Opened

April 26, 2026

Expected resolution

May 22, 2026