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Election

2028 presidency — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US presidential election?

EHIQ
4%
Polymarket
13%
as of Sep 20 (1h ago)
Divergence
-9.0pp

Provenance: EHIQ registered 4% on Jul 26, 2026, market mid was 5% (prereg'd, evidence-grade).

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