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Election

Gavin Newsom — 2028 Democratic nomination

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

EHIQ
16%
Polymarket
15%
as of Sep 20 (1h ago)
Divergence
+0.8pp

Provenance: EHIQ registered 16% on Jul 26, 2026, market mid was 20% (prereg'd, evidence-grade).

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premise verified 0h ago

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