The Book

Each live published call, its entry, its exit convention, and a computed state. The rule, not just the call.

37 live calls: 0 near exit, 4 expired-unresolved. 4 still carry no exit rule. Next dated event: Opendoor Series K warrant early-expiration condition trigger, Nov 20.

29 on track · 0 near exit · 4 expired-unresolved · 4 no rule on record

unbucketed: 34 (92%)sports_awards: 1 (3%)us_midterms_2026: 1 (3%)sports_ownership_control: 1 (3%)
The state summary above is public. The exit conventions on each card are subscriber content. See plans or log in.
CALLEXPIRED, UNRESOLVED

Graham's SC Senate seat stays Republican, decided in the Aug 25 GOP runoff by Trump's endorsement

opened Jul 12, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLEXPIRED, UNRESOLVED

GA Senate — Ossoff retention

opened Apr 19, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLEXPIRED, UNRESOLVED

Dem House control 2026

opened Apr 19, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLEXPIRED, UNRESOLVED

ME Senate — Collins (R) retention

opened Apr 19, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLNO RULE ON RECORD

Mary Peltola defeats Dan Sullivan (Alaska Senate 2026)

opened Sep 20, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLNO RULE ON RECORD

Opendoor Series K warrant early-expiration condition triggers before 2026-11-20 expiry

opened Aug 5, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLNO RULE ON RECORD

TWG Sports level 3 mark below 90 at Q3 2026

opened Sep 25, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLNO RULE ON RECORD

Dodgers control sale announced by 30 Jun 2027

opened Sep 25, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

Lamine Yamal wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or

opened Sep 12, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACKsports_awards

Harry Kane wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or

opened Sep 2, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

Bernie Sanders endorses James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2

opened Sep 12, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACKus_midterms_2026

Republicans hold the Senate in the 2026 midterms

opened Sep 2, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

Peggy Flanagan (DFL) wins the 2026 Minnesota Senate election

opened Oct 18, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

opened Sep 12, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

Republicans win the 2026 Georgia governor race

opened Sep 12, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

Republicans win the 2026 Ohio governor race

opened Sep 12, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

SpaceX (SPCX) — 180-day lock-up close below IPO price

opened May 20, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

SpaceX (SPCX) — 6-month total return outperforms QQQ by >10pp

opened May 20, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
NOT COVEREDON TRACK

FDA decision (PDUFA) — PRAX relutrigine

opened Aug 13, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

BTC closes below $50,000 on at least one day by EOY 2026

opened Jun 7, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

Mitek (MITK) outperforms the Russell 2000 on the AI-provenance re-rate

opened Jul 13, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

Intellicheck (IDN) outperforms the Russell 2000 on the AI-provenance re-rate

opened Jul 13, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

Digimarc (DMRC) outperforms the Russell 2000 on the AI-provenance re-rate

opened Jul 13, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

Drake top Spotify artist 2026

opened May 9, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

Drake 'Iceman' Year-1 cumulative units

opened Jun 2, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

Drake next deal — $1.07B all-rights forecast

opened May 20, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

Five9 (FIVN) announces acquisition, take-private, or material restructuring by EOY 2027

opened Jun 7, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

Microsoft and OpenAI announce material renegotiation of partnership terms by EOY 2027

opened Jun 7, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACKsports_ownership_control

Mark Walter still controls the Los Angeles Dodgers on Dec 31 2027

opened Aug 15, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

Drake exits UMG primary recording deal by EOY 2027

opened Jun 4, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

Apple outperforms the AI intelligence-layer basket (NVDA/MSFT/GOOGL/META) by Jan 2028

opened Jul 6, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

Gavin Newsom — 2028 Democratic nomination

opened Jun 30, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

2028 presidency — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

opened May 9, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

2028 presidency — Jon Ossoff

opened May 9, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

2028 presidency — Marco Rubio

opened May 9, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

Compagnie de l'Odet — pyramid-simplification cascade

opened Jun 3, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule
CALLON TRACK

Drake's next deal: services/distribution, not a major

opened Jul 24, 2026

Exit convention is subscriber content. Unlock the rule

States are computed, not curated: near-exit fires within 5% of the exit level, expired-unresolved when a thesis passes its expiry without resolution, and a call with no exit rule says so in words. Full record, wins and losses both, on the public ledger.

generated 2026-11-05T19:15:37.960Z