real-economyPremium/HIGH confidence

Macro Contraction Signal

Composite signal detecting real economy contraction from multiple institutional indicators.

INACTIVE

Live

State History

35 readings|0 state changes|INACTIVE: 100%

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Track record

FIRING

4 fires since 2021 · 25% hit · median 21d +10.9% on BTC-USD

unmeasurable

INACTIVE

5 fires since 2021 · — hit · median 21d +4.5% on BTC-USD

unmeasurable

Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.

Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.