cryptoPremium/MEDIUM confidence
Memecoin Season Index
Late-cycle euphoria detector — memecoin vs BTC relative performance
NEUTRAL
9h ago
State History
10 readings|0 state changes|NEUTRAL: 100%
Track record
NEUTRAL
12 fires since 2021 · 50% hit · median 21d +7.8% on BTC-USD
no-content
HEALTHY
7 fires since 2021 · 57% hit · median 21d +0.9% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
SPECULATIVE
6 fires since 2021 · — hit · median 21d +12.2% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.