macro/MEDIUM confidence
Macro Risk Score
Macro overlay for structural risk — Fed rate, CPI, gold, oil, mortgage. Lower = favorable for risk assets. Blended 70/30 with sensor composite on live site.
NEUTRAL
38d stale
State History
No history data available yet.
Track record
LOW
1 fires since 2021 · 100% hit · median 21d +8.9% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
NEUTRAL
1 fires since 2021 · 100% hit · median 21d +12.8% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
STABLE
2 fires since 2021 · 100% hit · median 21d +10.9% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.