macro/MEDIUM confidence

Macro Regime Overlay

Macro regime classification using unemployment, inflation, interest rates, and mortgage rates.

Retired 2026-10-02 — It never measured anything: 424 readings from 2026-04-03 to 2026-08-27 with exactly ONE distinct value, (0.0, 'EXPANSION'), and one state.

This sensor no longer measures anything. Its state is UNMEASURED; the readings below are historical.

UNMEASURED

Historical readings (sensor retired)

State History

No history data available yet.

Track record

EXPANSION

1 fires since 2021 · — hit · median 21d +16.9% on BTC-USD

unmeasurable

Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.

Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.