fundamental/MEDIUM confidence

Insider Action Divergence Sensor

Detects divergence between insider trading (SEC Form 4) and public narrative sentiment from Tonality IQ. Calibrated against UPST peak (insiders selling, narrative bullish), CVNA trough (insiders buying, narrative bearish), CAT baseline (aligned).

STABLE
2d stale
Since Feb 22, 2026

State History

RISING
SEVERE
STABLE
ELEVATED
309 readings|0 state changes|STABLE: 100%

State Definitions

RISING

Minor divergence between insider actions and narrative. Some mismatch in 20-40% range.

SEVERE

Strong divergence (>60%). Heavy insider selling despite bullish narrative, or heavy buying despite bearish. Highest-conviction belief dislocation signal.

STABLE

Insider buying/selling patterns consistent with public narrative sentiment. No divergence detected.

ELEVATED

Clear divergence. Insiders selling while narrative is bullish, or buying while bearish. Warning signal.

Sources

Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.