regimePremium/HIGH confidence
INJ Regime Detector (Contagion)
4-state regime for Injective powered by 22-node contagion graph (0.68 AUC) + price momentum. States: CARRY (accumulate), EXPANSION (ride), REFLEXIVE (reduce), STRESS (defensive).
REFLEXIVE
Live
State History
35 readings|0 state changes|REFLEXIVE: 100%
Track record
STRESS
63 fires since 2021 · 38% hit · median 21d +3.9% on BTC-USD
contrarian
CARRY
22 fires since 2021 · — hit · median 21d -2.4% on BTC-USD
untested-polarity
EXPANSION
41 fires since 2021 · — hit · median 21d +1.5% on BTC-USD
untested-polarity
REFLEXIVE
83 fires since 2021 · — hit · median 21d +1.6% on BTC-USD
untested-polarity
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.