cryptoPremium/MEDIUM confidence

Greed Exhaustion

Crowd greed meets BTC dip while DeFi capital holds. Contrarian buy signal. Multiplicative: TVL expanding × Greed × BTC momentum negative. 0% overlap with CFD.

NORMAL

Live

Since Sep 28, 2026

State History

161 readings|0 state changes|NORMAL: 100%

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Track record

ELEVATED

5 fires since 2021 · 20% hit · median 21d +6.2% on BTC-USD

unmeasurable

NORMAL

6 fires since 2021 · 67% hit · median 21d +10.9% on BTC-USD

unmeasurable

Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.

Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.