commodityPremium/MEDIUM confidence
GOLD STRUCTURAL RISK
Gold structural risk — 60-day forward return predictor using CAD, HY, stablecoins, USDJPY, DeFi TVL.
NORMAL
47d stale
State History
No history data available yet.
Track record
LOW
1 fires since 2021 · 0% hit · median 21d -0.7% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
NORMAL
5 fires since 2021 · 80% hit · median 21d +6.1% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
RISING
3 fires since 2021 · 0% hit · median 21d +6.7% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.