macro/MEDIUM confidence

Global Risk Appetite

Non-US equity momentum as a global risk-appetite proxy: KOSPI, DAX, Nikkei (yfinance). Mike L's finding: KOSPI 21d returns are predictive of BTC. Strong negative momentum abroad signals the broad risk-off that precedes or accompanies crypto deleveraging.

RISING
Live
Since Oct 3, 2026

State History

RISING
SEVERE
STABLE
ELEVATED
163 readings|2 state changes|RISING: 99%ELEVATED: 1%

State Definitions

RISING

Momentum rolling over across the three markets.

SEVERE

Coordinated global equity stress.

STABLE

Global equities flat-to-positive.

ELEVATED

Broad negative momentum — global risk-off underway.

Sources

Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.