macroPremium/MEDIUM confidence
Global Mobility Index
Aggregate global capital mobility activity level.
EXPANDING
Live
State History
16 readings|0 state changes|EXPANDING: 100%
Track record
EXPANDING
25 fires since 2021 · 36% hit · median 21d -0.7% on BTC-USD
contrarian
CONTRACTING
3 fires since 2021 · — hit · median 21d -1.7% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
STABLE
3 fires since 2021 · 67% hit · median 21d +5.3% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.