eventPremium/MEDIUM confidence
Pre-Event Activity Clustering
Detects pre-earnings flight activity clustering around company HQ airports (Yermack pattern).
QUIET
7h ago
State History
14 readings|0 state changes|QUIET: 100%
Track record
DETECTED
1 fires since 2021 · — hit · median 21d +21.1% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
QUIET
2 fires since 2021 · — hit · median 21d +28.2% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
SIGNIFICANT
1 fires since 2021 · — hit · median 21d +1.5% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.