ml_featuresPremium/MEDIUM confidence
Cross-Asset Lead-Lag
NEUTRAL
4h ago
State History
7 readings|3 state changes|NEUTRAL: 57%LEANING RISK ON: 43%
Track record
NEUTRAL
15 fires since 2021 · 53% hit · median 21d +1.7% on BTC-USD
no-content
LEANING RISK OFF
8 fires since 2021 · — hit · median 21d +0.8% on BTC-USD
untested-polarity
LEANING RISK ON
8 fires since 2021 · — hit · median 21d +3.2% on BTC-USD
untested-polarity
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.