macroPremium/MEDIUM confidence
CONSUMER STRESS
Consumer health composite: credit card delinquencies, auto loan defaults, UMich sentiment, savings rate, retail sales. 5 FRED features.
NORMAL
47d stale
State History
No history data available yet.
Track record
NORMAL
1 fires since 2021 · 100% hit · median 21d +15.8% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.