cryptoPremium/MEDIUM confidence
Capital Dislocation
DeFi capital surging during equity panic while altcoins lag BTC. Multiplicative: TVL surge × VIX spike × ETH/BTC momentum down. 100% backtest win rate at 21d.
NORMAL
Live
Since Nov 1, 20241 person watching3 total views
State History
161 readings|0 state changes|NORMAL: 100%
Track record
ELEVATED
4 fires since 2021 · 0% hit · median 21d +11.7% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
NORMAL
5 fires since 2021 · 100% hit · median 21d +16.2% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.