macro/MEDIUM confidence
Canada Macro Composite
Canadian economy leading indicator (CAD, TSX, oil, employment, housing, BoC)
STRESS
7h ago
State History
16 readings|1 state change|STRESS: 50%WEAKENING: 50%
Track record
NEUTRAL
1 fires since 2021 · 100% hit · median 21d +4.6% on EWC
unmeasurable
STRESS
2 fires since 2021 · 50% hit · median 21d +3.2% on EWC
unmeasurable
WEAKENING
2 fires since 2021 · — hit · median 21d +6.4% on EWC
unmeasurable
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.