regimePremium/HIGH confidence

BTC Regime V13 (Contagion)

20-feature BTC regime model: 12 macro + 3 alt data + 5 contagion. Walk-forward AUC 0.686. Independent scoring pipeline — no dependency on external scripts.

NORMAL
47d stale

State History

No history data available yet.

Track record

EXPANSION
1 fires since 2021 · — hit · median 21d +5.4% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
NORMAL
1 fires since 2021 · 100% hit · median 21d +14.6% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable

Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.

Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.